Journey to the Cup, March 11

posted by Dave Stubbs at 16h30 EST on Mar 11


The National Hockey League is producing an at-a-glance look at the final month leading to the playoffs. The hope is to reproduce this on a daily basis, at roughly mid-afternoon each day.



Journey to the Stanley Cup for March 11:

 

cup11march1.gif
cup11march2.gif

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bantamcc's picture
Submitted by bantamcc on Wed, 03/12/2008 - 10:03.
Habs fan Since '54... Was gonna email RDS tech dept. but maybe one of you guys can answer. RDS HD feed really sux out of certain arenas. Was gorgeous last night out of Bell center. Is this due to home arena's transmission facilities (or lack there of) or the carrier that RDS has to hook up with for transmission back to studios in Montreal. ie Versus . ;-)

bantamcc's picture
Submitted by bantamcc on Wed, 03/12/2008 - 10:00.
Habs fan Since '54... RE: Habs Sweaters. Habs had home whites last year ? Correct ? ;-)

T-roy West's picture
Submitted by T-roy West on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 21:19.
Sergei Kostitsyn is my new favorite player. What hockey sense and awesome passes. You could almost put the two Kostitsyn's and Kovalev on the same line. Wait, there's a thought!

zamboni's picture
Submitted by zamboni on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 17:58.
And here are the odds of each team making the playoffs along with the probabilities of finishing at positions 1 to 15 (based on a Monte-Carlo simulation) . . . 3/11/2008 7:59:41 AM   Sim runs: 100000 Teams           P       1st     2nd     3rd     4th     5th     6th     7th     8th ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- New Jersey      99.95   52.36   11.73   0.03    20.58   8.4     4.23    1.98    0.64 Pittsburgh      99.67   17.69   7       0.02    35.48   17.69   11.72   6.96    3.11 Montreal        99.58   15.91   40.1    0.3     7.59    13.53   11.68   7.64    2.83 Ottawa          98.38   5.45    24.33   0.28    8.45    17.46   18.86   16.02   7.53 NY Rangers      98.35   6.16    4.09    0.01    19.07   22.11   21.1    16.37   9.44 Boston          94.36   2.03    11.33   0.21    5.34    13.25   19.08   25.05   18.07 Carolina        90.59   0.02    0.85    89.22   0       0       0       0.03    0.47 Philadelphia    84.16   0.38    0.52    0       3.46    7.31    12.21   21.48   38.8 Buffalo         18.79   0       0.05    0       0.03    0.24    1.07    3.92    13.48 Washington      8.44    0       0       6.58    0       0       0.01    0.16    1.69 Florida         3.69    0       0       2.83    0       0       0       0.04    0.82 NY Islanders    2.48    0       0       0       0       0       0.03    0.27    2.18 Toronto         0.9     0       0       0       0       0       0.01    0.07    0.82 Atlanta         0.62    0       0       0.51    0       0       0       0       0.11 Tampa Bay       0       0       0       0       0       0       0       0       0 3/11/2008 7:59:41 AM   Sim runs: 100000 Teams           P       9th     10th    11th    12th    13th    14th    15th ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ New Jersey      99.95   0.04    0       0       0       0       0       0 Pittsburgh      99.67   0.31    0.02    0       0       0       0       0 Montreal        99.58   0.39    0.03    0       0       0       0       0 Ottawa          98.38   1.4     0.18    0.02    0.01    0       0       0 NY Rangers      98.35   1.4     0.2     0.05    0.01    0       0       0 Boston          94.36   4.42    0.92    0.21    0.06    0.02    0       0 Carolina        90.59   2.7     3.98    1.76    0.7     0.23    0.04    0 Philadelphia    84.16   10.8    3.22    1.16    0.48    0.14    0.04    0 Buffalo         18.79   41.29   18.95   10.7    5.98    3.17    1.1     0.03 Washington      8.44    12.48   21.45   20.22   16.87   12.33   7.66    0.54 Florida         3.69    7.6     17.13   20      19.96   17.38   13.3    0.94 NY Islanders    2.48    10.25   18.52   20.92   19.88   16.99   10.32   0.62 Toronto         0.9     5.51    10.11   15.31   20.68   25.38   20.54   1.58 Atlanta         0.62    1.41    5.28    9.55    15.02   22.97   39.75   5.4 Tampa Bay       0       0       0.01    0.08    0.34    1.41    7.26    90.89

Ian G Cobb's picture
Submitted by Ian G Cobb on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 19:20.
What is this,!! looks like a math quiz. I,m not the sharpest tac on the floor. I think i'll skip over this if you don't mind, and get back to hockey.

zamboni's picture
Submitted by zamboni on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 19:23.
I don't mind at all, whatever tickles you, just pretend it's not posted.

T-roy West's picture
Submitted by T-roy West on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 21:10.
I knew you would be posting some numbers soon, nice to hear from you. I'll take a look at the numbers later because I'm really too into the game right now.

Chorske's picture
Submitted by Chorske on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 18:01.
Did you base the simulation on previous head-to-head matches to determine probable outcomes for remaining games? Cos that would be fun.

zamboni's picture
Submitted by zamboni on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 19:22.
No Chorske, previous matches bear no weighing on future outcomes. I do understand that it's more fun or some might even think more realistic. I thought about it, but implementing it though not impossible, is not as trivial as it might appear, furthermore to I weigh in a team's home / away record as well? how far do I go back? this season only? If i get some free time, I'll look into it.

Cape Breton's picture
Submitted by Cape Breton on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 17:29.
Hi Dave, I have a question: Do you know why the Canadiens wore their home darks rather than their road whites on the just completed road trip? Thanks, John

Dave Stubbs's picture
Submitted by Dave Stubbs on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 18:23.
Pierre Gervais, the Canadiens' equipment manager, has just confirmed to me what's been speculated: the team wore the "home" red sweaters to give fans out west a look at the historic jersey, one they very seldom see. This was at the NHL's request. Dave Stubbs
Habs Inside/Out
Sports Feature Writer, Montreal Gazette

 


Cape Breton's picture
Submitted by Cape Breton on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 19:09.
Thanks Dave for the info on the sweaters. I kind of figured that might be the reason. Great job, by the way, on this site. I'm fairly new to it and enjoy your's and Boone's pieces as well as the responses by the general public.

Ed's picture
Submitted by Ed on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 17:27.
Thanks Dave. This is very interesting information. I like where we are, & I like where the leafs are. Unfortunately, they are quickly moving into territory where they will get a very high draft pick this year, if they have any left.

Habs-Kat's picture
Submitted by Habs-Kat on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 17:23.
Wouldn't you love to see the expression on Danny Briere's face if Buffalo made it into the playoffs and Philadelphia didn't?

Sbah Reverof's picture
Submitted by Sbah Reverof on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 17:58.
Almost as much as I would enjoy beating Pittsburgh 4-0 in the playoffs, thank you Marian Hossa.

Naila Jinnah's picture
Submitted by Naila Jinnah on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 17:23.
Also from NHL.com, this piece on Habs prospect David Desharnais: http://www.nhl.com/nhl/app/?service=page&page=NewsPage&articleid=356533

Submitted by Bouleau noir on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 18:29.
Interesting FA signing by the CH,... I love mini players when they are as talented and solid on their skates as St-Louis is or Theorem Fleury was, but lets face it, our organization's pro scouting's poor performances of the last few years has not yet been able to provide a single player who made it to the Big Club,.. so until something concrete happens there at least once I will remain sceptical.

TommyB's picture
Submitted by TommyB on Wed, 03/12/2008 - 15:20.
You said: "but lets face it, our organization's pro scouting's poor performances of the last few years has not yet been able to provide a single player who made it to the Big Club,.. so until something concrete happens there at least once I will remain sceptical." What "poor performances" are you referring to? I think you use the term "the last few years" way too loosely. Look at the number of young faces on this team that were not here 3 years ago, and tell me again that not a single player has made it to the big club! I really don't get what you are talking about.

Habs-Kat's picture
Submitted by Habs-Kat on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 17:28.
Well he's still taller than me :(

Infanteer's picture
Submitted by Infanteer on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 16:58.
I'd love the Habs' chances against Boston. Besides their overwhelming winning % of the last few years, I think the Habs simply match up better vs the Bruins than against any other team, with the possible exception of the "new" Atlanta.

Submitted by habsgod on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 16:51.
awesome dave! thanks !

Submitted by arcosenate on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 16:40.
I guess you'd have to be pretty pleased if we drew Boston! Although 3 games left with Ottawa, 2 with Boston and 2 with Toronto should be interesting. On another note, what can I do to get RDS HD on Rogers in Ontario. I don't want to have to shift to Bell but here is what the folks at RDS told me to do (basically do it myself): RDS is willing to sign a contract with Rogers to broadcast on HD. It is not in our advantage to restrain the broadcast of HD, we want to be available all around Canada and we do not have any exclusivity with any cable dealer at all. We would advice you to contact Rogers again and to tell them that you are willing to receive RDS HD in your region and should insist on that point. We hope you will get RDS HD soon in your region. Best regards, RDS - Customer Service Dept.

RC-51's picture
Submitted by RC-51 on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 17:55.
my suggestion is fta satelite! havent missed many games this year getting ready for NJ 2nite!

Sask Habs Fan's picture
Submitted by Sask Habs Fan on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 17:52.
I had the same problem at the start of the season. Our local cable provider carries RDS in SD but they had no plans on offering it in HD. I also called Rogers with no luck. So I went out and bought a Bell dish and HD receiver. Smartest thing I've done in a long time. I'd say you can wait till next year and hope Rogers gets it or switch to Bell now to be able to watch the Habbies make their cup run in glorious HD. GO HABS GO! _________________________________________________________________________ Chuck Norris' calendar goes straight from March 31st to April 2nd; no one fools Chuck Norris.

Submitted by Scotty90 on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 17:10.
I contacted Rogers back in January and their response was that they were negotiating with Bell because they have the rights to RDS-HD. Their response: "Thank you for taking the time to write to us, we appreciate your use of online customer service. In your recent email, you have inquired why you are unable to see RDS in HD. Currently Rogers is in negotiations with Bell in order to have access to HD RDS so that we may offer it to our customers. Unfortunately, where Bell owns the rights to this programming it may take some time for any agreement to come to terms. Our Customer Representatives as well as our customer base will be informed as soon as there is confirmation provided as to the possibility of HD RDS becoming part of the services here at Rogers. "

Ian G Cobb's picture
Submitted by Ian G Cobb on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 17:43.
Scotty- We should start a writing cam pane to both Rogers,& Cogeco cable co. Do you have the head office address? I for one will write. Ian

The Teacher's picture
Submitted by The Teacher on Tue, 03/11/2008 - 16:39.
Absolutely awesome Dave. Everything you need to know. I especially like the remaining schedule breakdown. Kudos. "Are the Habs ready to pay the Price?" "Four blind mice, Four blind mice, see how they suck?"